Holding my nose a little bit on this. Philly had 3 red zone trips with no points and then things kind of snowballed. This is probably a field goal game and the public is having a collective orgasm on Dallas. Yes, Philly is down their starting center. Yes, I don't know how Philly is going to run the ball. Remember 21-10 with Philly getting a garbage TD and 2 point conversion and you cover. There are multiple ways to win this game. McNabb in a close game is worrisome. That's why it's gambling.
Monday, January 4, 2010
Wildcard Saturday
Cincy -2.5 JETS
If we saw this line 48 hours ago we would be jumping on Cincy. Are we going to over react that much to one game? Cincy had 2 defensive lineman out along with Benson. There is some cause for concern as many feel Cincy was actually trying in the first quarter but getting blown up on both lines. I'm going to fade the rookie QB who admittedly can't throw in poor weather conditions.
BCS Title Game
BCS title game
Alabama -3.5 over Texas.
Rationale: Alabama has advantages with their d-line vs Texas' o-line and at worse a push with their o-line vs Texas' d-line. Alabama will be able to run. Texas won't.
Texas faced 2 top 20 teams according to Sagarin Nebraska and OU and struggled in both games. Alabama faced 7 such teams granted they struggled in some of those games but at least they have a signature win or two against top teams. Texas has yet to do that.
Next issue: how is Texas going to move the ball on offense. Knee jerk: Colt McCoy to Jordan Shipley. Really? OU and NU doubled Shipley and shut him down. I don't see Texas' o-line keeping McLain, Nico Johnson and Deadrick off McCoy. I see Alabama's stellar corners locking up Texas' wide outs. Texas can't run and has no tight end. McCoy is the running game. Alabama is going to force McCoy to throw deep. I don't see it working against that secondary.
An under rated component of this game that no one is talking about is Alabama's passing game especially given Texas has to respect any and all run fakes.
Tide Rolls 24-17. Lay the points.
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